Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 214.727742 241.141394 270.301070 305.014487 345.386867 391.067532 446.958828
2025-04-13 167.561859 200.625683 240.165829 291.432211 356.871289 438.601309 549.989556
2025-04-20 150.172099 187.881792 235.555752 301.257126 391.063261 511.956187 691.310501
2025-04-27 138.928981 180.095016 234.554023 313.520994 427.943359 592.398495 855.749740
2025-05-04 126.552000 168.744942 226.630154 314.119573 447.188525 649.380132 995.456175
2025-05-11 114.014334 155.528209 214.190493 305.937362 451.261525 682.792411 1102.779595
2025-05-18 104.120014 144.927226 204.131440 299.627237 456.612065 717.989063 1218.978680
2025-05-25 99.530935 141.510897 204.138659 308.547322 487.237457 799.561516 1436.522916
2025-06-01 93.399997 135.153464 198.909849 308.203293 501.806446 854.778645 1615.373172
2025-06-08 86.948611 127.726176 191.249257 302.805341 506.473377 891.987019 1765.175302
2025-06-15 82.481779 123.024991 187.479758 303.512876 522.092263 952.465849 1980.715949
2025-06-22 77.171912 116.559189 180.237964 297.269049 523.621066 984.542799 2138.043775
2025-06-29 73.036185 111.804581 175.625272 295.572805 534.352778 1039.019581 2369.707074
2025-07-06 67.329880 104.080114 165.380506 282.500788 520.685369 1038.324166 2458.577705
2025-07-13 65.807376 103.259683 167.009918 291.954858 554.688683 1151.466410 2897.383598
2025-07-20 64.722408 103.085373 169.726622 303.751781 595.395748 1288.992840 3461.718844
2025-07-27 62.097179 100.038279 166.981840 304.327463 611.298328 1368.417433 3875.128403
2025-08-03 58.540942 95.121306 160.427228 296.457390 606.775990 1394.025468 4116.647026
2025-08-10 55.499058 90.948386 154.978998 290.386699 605.715982 1428.919054 4406.958326
2025-08-17 54.504576 90.414760 156.378397 298.967987 641.177934 1573.239119 5182.200721
2025-08-24 52.507212 87.914670 153.797037 298.637066 654.482170 1656.569474 5754.701485
2025-08-31 50.096376 84.510836 149.217088 293.444353 654.663690 1700.453562 6179.476476
2025-09-07 48.490950 82.529707 147.322891 294.125033 670.346233 1796.644442 6902.569727